National League South
Gameweek
46
-
Mo Dabre
29'
-
Ollie Pearce
33'
-
Kane Wills
42'
-
Reece Grant
45'+2'
Worthing vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
Result
Worthing
56.79%
▼
(-0.42)
Draw
21.01%
▲
(+0.09)
Hemel Hempstead Town
22.21%
▲
(+0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
61.96%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
35.77%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
42.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
57.85%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
23.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
76.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5
87.45%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
12.54%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
61.41%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
38.59%
▲
(+0.24)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5
70.85%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 0.5
29.15%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 1.5
34.91%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
65.09%
▼
(-0.36)
Score analysis
Worthing
56.79%
Draw
21.01%
Hemel Hempstead Town
22.21%
Worthing
2-1
@
9.71%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 56.79%
2-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 56.79%
Draw
1-1
@
9.36%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.01%
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.01%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-2
@
5.77%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 22.21%
0-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 22.21%
Head to Head
National League South
Gameweek
10
-
Nahum Melvin-Lambert
28'
-
Ollie Pearce
71'