National League South | Gameweek 42

Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

The A2B Stadium

Worthing
7 - 0
Concord Rangers

Pearce (28', 35' pen.), Akanbi (39', 47'), Rodari (51', 80'), Campbell (57' og.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Concord Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Taunton Town 1-0 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Concord Rangers
60.99% ( -0.22)	19.73% ( 0.06)	19.28% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 61.87% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.21% (

-0.07)

33.79% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.37% (

-0.07)

55.63% (

0.07)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.22% (

-0.08)

10.79% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.2% (

-0.17)

34.81% (

0.17)

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

0.11)

30.65% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

0.14)

66.9% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Worthing 60.99%

Concord Rangers 19.29%

Draw 19.73%

Worthing	Draw	Concord Rangers
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.99%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.73%	1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 19.29%