National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Park View Road
Concord Rangers

Welling United
0 - 1
Concord Rangers

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bettamer (46')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 0-2 Slough
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawConcord Rangers
44.59% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)25.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.17% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.43% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.022000000000002 0.02)70.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)54.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.034999999999997 0.03)29.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (0.042999999999999 0.04)65.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 44.59%
    Concord Rangers 30.17%
    Draw 25.24%
Welling UnitedDrawConcord Rangers
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.59%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.17%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Concord Rangers
1-1
Welling United
Ramsay (34')
Maloney (24')
Nelson (21')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Concord Rangers
2-1
Welling United
Blackman (78' pen.), Green (90+3')
Ezennolim (28')
Aug 30, 2021 3pm
Welling United
2-1
Concord Rangers
Krabbendam (10'), Saunders-Henry (90+1')
Pearce (72' og.)
Nov 10, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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