Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.