National League South Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Reece Grant 26' goal
  • Reece Grant 52' goal
  • Josh Williams 65' goal

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Concord Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
Taunton Town 1 - 2 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Concord Rangers

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Concord Rangers 1 - 2 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Mohamed Bettamer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 47.31%
Draw 25.39%
Concord Rangers 27.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.35%
Under 2.5 50.65%
Over 3.5 27.44%
Under 3.5 72.55%
Over 4.5 12.94%
Under 4.5 87.06%

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.58%
Under 0.5 21.42%
Over 1.5 45.57%
Under 1.5 54.42%

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 66.94%
Under 0.5 33.05%
Over 1.5 30.35%
Under 1.5 69.65%

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 47.3%
Draw 25.39%
Concord Rangers 27.3%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.15%
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.39%
Concord Rangers
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 4.34%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 27.3%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Thames Road
  • Mohamed Bettamer 9' goal
  • Nana Kyei 80' goal
  • goal Elliott Romain 75'
National League South Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Craig Fasanmade 3' goal
  • Craig Fasanmade 42' goal
  • Alfie Cerulli 76' goal
  • goal Danny Green 85'
National League South Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Green 7' goal
National League South Gameweek 39
National League South Gameweek 18