National League South | Gameweek 24
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Braintree Town

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 1
Braintree

Hughes (19')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Janneh (41')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-3 Oxford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
33.05% (-3.376 -3.38)26.51% (-0.439 -0.44)40.45% (3.817 3.82)
Both teams to score 52.04% (0.94 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.26% (1.398 1.4)52.74% (-1.398 -1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.63% (1.182 1.18)74.37% (-1.182 -1.18)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-1.431 -1.43)30.01% (1.431 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-1.759 -1.76)66.13% (1.759 1.76)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (2.807 2.81)25.65% (-2.805 -2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46% (3.671 3.67)60.54% (-3.671 -3.67)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 33.05%
    Braintree Town 40.45%
    Draw 26.5%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.917 -0.92)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.431 -0.43)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.803 -0.8)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.435 -0.44)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.532 0.53)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.703 0.7)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.52 0.52)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.541 0.54)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.231 0.23)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.265 0.27)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.254 0.25)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.45%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Braintree
3-1
Hemel Hempstead
Blair (32', 49'), Clemons (68')
Obi (43')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Braintree
3-1
Hemel Hempstead
Da Costa (26'), Crichlow (31', 87')
Scott-Morriss (65')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
0-3
Braintree
Holness (10', 16', 62')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
0-0
Braintree
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Braintree
3-4
Hemel Hempstead
Smyth (22'), Dunne (37'), Clements (78')
Olomowewe (20'), Bateman (42' pen.), Forrest (44' og.), Evans (45+1')
Paulin (68')