National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
2 - 3
Bath City

Pearce (4' pen.), Colbran (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cooke (51'), Smith (64'), Wilson (75')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 7-2 Worthing
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawBath City
42.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.52% (0.004999999999999 0)33.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 62.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)39.22% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)61.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)18.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.08% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)49.91% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.11% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 42.98%
    Bath City 33.5%
    Draw 23.52%
WorthingDrawBath City
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.5%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 3pm
Bath City
2-2
Worthing
Cox (57', 63')
Pearce (54'), Starkey (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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