National League South | Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
2 - 1
Hungerford

Meekums (36'), Pearce (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rollinson (23')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Hungerford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 6-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Hungerford Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-1 Hungerford
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.51%) and 3-1 (6.47%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.

Result
WorthingDrawHungerford Town
53% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)21.05% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)25.95% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.53% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (0.067999999999998 0.07)31.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)53.32% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (0.012 0.01)12.32% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.064999999999998 0.06)24.12% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (0.093000000000004 0.09)58.42% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 53%
    Hungerford Town 25.95%
    Draw 21.05%
WorthingDrawHungerford Town
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.6% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.38%
4-2 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 53%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01%
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 25.95%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Hungerford
0-0
Worthing