Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.51%) and 3-1 (6.47%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.