Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.