National League South Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • goal Kane Wills 10'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 26'
  • goal Callum Kealy 69'

Dover Athletic vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 0 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luke Wanadio

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Worthing 3 - 0 Dartford
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result

Dover Athletic 22.29% (-0.10)
Draw 24.01% (-0.07)
Worthing 53.7% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.85% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.81% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 49.19% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 28.74% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 71.25% (-0.15)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 63.41% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.58%
Over 1.5 26.62%
Under 1.5 73.37% (+0.01)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 81.76% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 18.24% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 50.72% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 49.27% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 22.29%
Draw 24%
Worthing 53.69%
Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 22.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24%
Worthing
0-1 @ 11.35% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.71% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 9.66% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.51% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.48% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.34% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.33% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.69%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Jake Robinson 5' goal
  • goal Lee Martin 37'