Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
0 - 3
Worthing

FT(HT: 0-2)
Wills (10'), Pearce (26'), Kealy (69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Dartford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawWorthing
22.29% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)24.01% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)53.7% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (0.167 0.17)49.19% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (0.148 0.15)71.25% (-0.149 -0.15)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62%73.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76% (0.124 0.12)18.24% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72% (0.21 0.21)49.27% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 22.29%
    Worthing 53.69%
    Draw 24%
Dover AthleticDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 22.29%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 11.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.33% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.69%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Worthing
1-1
Dover Athletic
Robinson (5')
Martin (37')