Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.