National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
4 - 5
St Albans City

Pearce (28', 65'), White (30'), Rodari (35')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Weiss (5'), Jeffers (20' pen.), Banton (32'), Cooper (59'), Stanley (69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Worthing
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South

St Albans City

All competitions
Last Game: Hungerford 3-0 St Albans City
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawSt Albans City
30.96% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)22.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.04% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 63.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.04% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)23.96% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)58.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.019999999999996 0.02)16.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (0.037999999999997 0.04)46.75% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 30.96%
    St Albans City 46.04%
    Draw 22.99%
WorthingDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.96%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 46.04%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
St Albans City
0-1
Worthing
White (86')