Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.