National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Rushmoor Stadium
  • Alfie Pavey 19' goal
  • Connor Cullen 59' goal
  • James Morton 63' goal
  • redcard Rex Mannings 68'

Farnborough Town vs Weston-super-Mare - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
Dartford 1 - 1 Farnborough
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Oli Pendlebury

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
Weston 0 - 3 Slough
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Reuben Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result

Farnborough Town 46.18% (-0.13)
Draw 24.94% (-0.04)
Weston-super-Mare 28.88% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.19% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.21% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 47.79% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 30.02% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 69.98% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 14.68% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 85.32% (-0.16)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.26% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 20.74% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 46.63% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 53.37% (-0.07)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5 69.63% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 30.37% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 33.43% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 66.57% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 46.18%
Draw 24.93%
Weston-super-Mare 28.88%
Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.53% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.93%
Weston-super-Mare
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.04% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.47% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.88%