National League South | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
0 - 1
Weston

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bastin (26')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 1-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Weston-super-Mare in this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWeston-super-Mare
30.03% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)26.35% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)43.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 51.37% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)53.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)74.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (0.014999999999997 0.01)68.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.17% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)58.49% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 30.03%
    Weston-super-Mare 43.62%
    Draw 26.34%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 11.07%
1-2 @ 8.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 43.62%