National League South | Gameweek 44

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
0 - 1
Dartford

FT(HT: 0-1)

Napa (24')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Dartford

All competitions

Last Game: Dartford 0-1 Taunton Town
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Dartford
38.17% ( -0.19)	24.48% ( 0.02)	37.36% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 59.68% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.81% (

-0.08)

43.19% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.41% (

-0.08)

65.59% (

0.08)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-0.13)

22.54% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88% (

-0.2)

56.12% (

0.2)

Dartford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

0.06)

22.96% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.26% (

0.08)

56.74% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 38.17%

Dartford 37.36%

Draw 24.47%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Dartford
2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.17%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47%	1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.36%