National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Princes Park

Dartford
3 - 1
Farnborough Town

Statham (6'), Coulson (50'), Bradbury (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Parsons (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dartford
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
DartfordDrawFarnborough Town
27.85% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)25.66% (0.052 0.05)46.49% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (-0.221 -0.22)51.38% (0.221 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (-0.196 -0.2)73.2% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.99% (-0.14 -0.14)33.01% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4% (-0.157 -0.16)69.6% (0.157 0.16)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)22.09% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.154 -0.15)55.45% (0.152 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Dartford 27.85%
    Farnborough Town 46.48%
    Draw 25.66%
DartfordDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 27.85%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.48%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Farnborough Town
3-1
Dartford
Kasimu (18'), Page (27'), Pendlebury (69')
Campbell (64')