Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.