National League South | Gameweek 8

Sep 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Ruff (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Iaciofano (77' pen., 90+4' pen.)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
59.12% ( -0.41)	23.77% ( 0.32)	17.11% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 44.56% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3% (

-1.02)

54.69% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

-0.85)

76.02% (

0.85)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.53)

18.27% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

-0.9)

49.33% (

0.91)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.52% (

-0.48)

45.47% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.69% (

-0.38)

81.31% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 59.11%

Hemel Hempstead Town 17.11%

Draw 23.77%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 12% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 59.11%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.77%	0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.11%