National League South | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
0 - 3
Chelmsford City

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hockey (30'), Barnum-Bobb (75'), Jones (90+2' pen.)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Weymouth	Draw	Chelmsford City
34.72% ( 0.04)	27.2% ( 0.01)	38.08% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75% (

-0.01)

55.25% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

-0)

76.48% (

0.01)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.82% (

0.02)

30.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

0.03)

66.33% (

-0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

-0.03)

28.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

-0.04)

63.81% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Weymouth 34.72%

Chelmsford City 38.07%

Draw 27.2%

Weymouth	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.72%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.07%