National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Bob Lucas Stadium
  • Anthony Cheshire 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Freddie Hockey 30'
  • goal Jazzi Barnum-Bobb 75'
  • goal Callum Jones 90'+2'

Weymouth vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 2 Weymouth
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Brandon Goodship

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Havant & W'ville
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result

Weymouth 34.72% (+0.05)
Draw 27.2% (+0.01)
Chelmsford City 38.08% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.18% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.75% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 55.25% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 23.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 76.48% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.44% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.56% (+0.01)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5 69.82% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 30.18% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.33% (-0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 71.87% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.13% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.81% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Weymouth 34.72%
Draw 27.2%
Chelmsford City 38.07%
Weymouth
1-0 @ 10.17% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.73% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.49% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.2%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 38.07%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Bob Lucas Stadium
  • Bradley Ash 39' goal
  • goal Reece Grant 28'
  • goal Simeon Jackson 89'
National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Tom Blackwell 18' goal
  • Tom Blackwell 34' goal
  • Callum Jones 90'+5' goal
  • goal Tom Blair 51'
National League South Gameweek 36
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Chelmsford Sport & Athletics Centre