National League South | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 2
Chelmsford City

Adom (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruff (62'), Castiglione (90+9')
Terry (90')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions

Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Chelmsford City
18.95% ( 0.05)	23.42% ( -0.02)	57.62% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.73% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

0.16)

50.84% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

0.14)

72.72% (

-0.14)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59% (

0.15)

41% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

0.13)

77.55% (

-0.13)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

0.05)

17.4% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.17% (

0.08)

47.83% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Welling United 18.95%

Chelmsford City 57.61%

Draw 23.42%

Welling United	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 18.95%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.61%