National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
3 - 0
Welling United

McConnell (7', 65'), Weiss (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Albans City

All competitions
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWelling United
58.47% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)22.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)19.16% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.33% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (0.049000000000007 0.05)46.23% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.043000000000003 0.04)68.52% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92% (0.07 0.07)38.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (0.065999999999999 0.07)74.85% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 58.46%
    Welling United 19.16%
    Draw 22.37%
St Albans CityDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.16%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Welling United
0-3
St Albans City
Jeffers (30', 90+4'), Banton (43')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Welling United
2-3
St Albans City
Parish (5'), Shokunbi (40')
Lankshear (2'), Akinola (41'), Mukena (65')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
St Albans City
5-0
Welling United
Jeffers (3', 7', 12' pen.), Akinola (68', 89')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
St Albans City
0-0
Welling United
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
Welling United
0-2
St Albans City
Jeffers (30', 45')