National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
Braintree Town

St Albans City
0 - 2
Braintree

FT(HT: 0-1)
Altintop (36'), Pavey (52')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-3 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawBraintree Town
47.93% (0.035999999999994 0.04)25.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)26.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.49% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (0.061 0.06)50.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (0.054000000000002 0.05)72.51% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.03% (0.061 0.06)53.97% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (0.019000000000005 0.02)33.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.08% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 47.92%
    Braintree Town 26.77%
    Draw 25.3%
St Albans CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 47.92%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.77%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Nov 10, 2020 7.45pm
St Albans City
2-1
Braintree
Banton (64'), Weiss (73')
Dunne (44')