National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
2 - 3
Eastbourne

Jeffers (20'), Cooper (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Remy (27' pen.), Pearce (68'), Wabo (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawEastbourne Borough
48.88% (0.023000000000003 0.02)23.84% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)27.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.027000000000001 0.03)43.97% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (0.024999999999999 0.02)66.35% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.019000000000005 0.02)18.11% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)49.05% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)29.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.59%
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 48.88%
    Eastbourne Borough 27.29%
    Draw 23.83%
St Albans CityDrawEastbourne Borough
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 27.29%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm