Torquay United
National League South | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 0
Farnborough Town

Jarvis (39', 90+8' pen.), Ash (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ball (90+7')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-1 Hampton
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
33.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.19% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.77% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9% (0.064 0.06)53.1% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32% (0.055 0.05)74.68% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.030999999999992 0.03)30.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)66.22% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.039000000000001 0.04)25.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.054000000000002 0.05)60.96% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 33.21%
    Farnborough Town 40.19%
    Draw 26.6%
Torquay UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.19%