National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
0 - 1
Welling United

FT(HT: 0-1)
Burchell (18')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWelling United
53.92% (-0.325 -0.33)23.99% (0.218 0.22)22.08% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.63% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.782 -0.78)49.34% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.71 -0.71)71.39% (0.706 0.71)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)18.21% (0.411 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-0.708 -0.71)49.22% (0.703 0.7)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (-0.338 -0.34)36.87% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (-0.34 -0.34)73.66% (0.33600000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 53.92%
    Welling United 22.08%
    Draw 23.99%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.92%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.08%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Welling United
2-1
Tonbridge Angels
Maloney (15'), Azeez (45+2')
Gard (23')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Welling United
Azeez (54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Tonbridge Angels
1-0
Welling United
Wood (14')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Welling United
1-0
Tonbridge Angels
Stevenson (23')
May 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 39
Tonbridge Angels
0-0
Welling United