National League South | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Gard (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Weston
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Dover Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Slough 1-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Dover Athletic
43.5% ( -0.05)	26.05% ( -0)	30.45% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.3% (

0.03)

51.7% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.53% (

0.03)

73.47% (

-0.03)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0.01)

23.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-0.01)

57.72% (

0.02)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.74% (

0.05)

31.26% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.39% (

0.06)

67.6% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 43.5%

Dover Athletic 30.45%

Draw 26.05%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.5%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.45%