National League South | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
1 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

McClure (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Payne (15'), Gard (82' pen.)
Fagg (90')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham Town	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
43.35% ( -0.86)	25.92% ( 0.27)	30.72% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 53.03% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.93% (

-0.88)

51.07% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.07% (

-0.78)

72.92% (

0.78)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

-0.79)

23.43% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

-1.16)

57.42% (

1.17)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.26% (

-0.03)

30.74% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33% (

-0.04)

67% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Chippenham Town 43.35%

Tonbridge Angels 30.72%

Draw 25.92%

Chippenham Town	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.35%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.72%