National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Arbour Park

Slough
4 - 0
Truro City

Ogbonna (19'), Platt (27'), Pardington (36'), Prosper (75')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Slough Town and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Grimsby Town
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.

Result
Slough TownDrawTruro City
45.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.11% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)30.05% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07)43.47% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (0.073 0.07)65.86% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.031999999999996 0.03)19.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.051000000000002 0.05)50.77% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.046999999999997 0.05)27.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (0.060000000000002 0.06)62.84% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Slough Town 45.84%
    Truro City 30.05%
    Draw 24.11%
Slough TownDrawTruro City
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.05%