Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.