National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
1 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

Greenslade (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fish (45+2'), Gard (62' pen.)
Janneh. (79+79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Farnborough 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawTonbridge Angels
53.26% (0.195 0.2)23.6% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)23.14% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (0.247 0.25)46.59% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (0.231 0.23)68.86% (-0.227 -0.23)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.16500000000001 0.17)17.44% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (0.284 0.28)47.89% (-0.279 -0.28)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.64% (0.039000000000001 0.04)34.36% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)71.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 53.26%
    Tonbridge Angels 23.14%
    Draw 23.59%
Truro CityDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 23.14%

rhs 2.0


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