National League South | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
3 - 3
Hemel Hemps.

Greenidge (5'), Shields (42'), Gard (90+5' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-2)

Brown (12'), Williams (20'), Williams (78')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Dartford 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
40.71% ( -0.01)	26.97% ( 0.01)	32.32% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.39% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

-0.03)

54.75% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

-0.03)

76.06% (

0.02)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

-0.02)

26.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4% (

-0.02)

61.6% (

0.02)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-0.02)

31.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1% (

-0.02)

67.9% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 40.71%

Hemel Hempstead Town 32.32%

Draw 26.96%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.71%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.32%