Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.