National League South | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
2 - 2
Truro City

Felix (54'), Pearce (75' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palmer (3'), Brett (90+5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
WorthingDrawTruro City
60.4% (-0.369 -0.37)20.48% (0.146 0.15)19.11% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 58.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.27% (-0.342 -0.34)37.73% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.03% (-0.365 -0.37)59.97% (0.365 0.37)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (-0.208 -0.21)12.14% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.26% (-0.439 -0.44)37.73% (0.438 0.44)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.024999999999991 0.02)33.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.025000000000002 0.03)69.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 60.4%
    Truro City 19.11%
    Draw 20.48%
WorthingDrawTruro City
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 60.4%
1-1 @ 9.37% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.44% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 19.11%