Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
2 - 2
Welling United

Lock (51'), C. (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tanga (16'), Bramble (31')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-1 Hampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawWelling United
41.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.77% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)33.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)45.1% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.56% (0.048999999999999 0.05)67.45% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (0.034000000000006 0.03)21.64% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (0.050999999999995 0.05)54.76% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (0.023000000000003 0.02)61.01% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 41.72%
    Welling United 33.52%
    Draw 24.76%
Dover AthleticDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.76%
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.52%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Dover Athletic
0-0
Welling United
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Welling United
1-1
Dover Athletic
Parry (77')
Kandi (81')
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
2-1
Welling United
Payne (23'), Raggett (51')
Orlu (64'), Magri (92')
Bakare (2')
Williams (45'), Gayle (72')
Dec 26, 2015 3pm
Welling United
1-2
Dover Athletic
Corne (94')
Vidal (77')
Modeste (13'), Deverdics (68')
Magri (43'), Thomas (61'), Miller (79')
Jan 1, 2015 3pm
Welling United
0-2
Dover Athletic

Healy (40')
Raggett (63'), Cogan (78')
Essam (36'), Bonner (53')