Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.