Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Weymouth

Dover Athletic
1 - 3
Weymouth

Charles-Cook (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Touray (9', 45+3'), Rollinson (84')
Bearwish (52')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawWeymouth
25.18% (-0.149 -0.15)24.06% (0.016000000000002 0.02)50.76% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 55% (-0.202 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)46.6% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (-0.186 -0.19)68.87% (0.184 0.18)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.227 -0.23)32.6% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.258 -0.26)69.14% (0.256 0.26)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)18.39% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)49.52% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 25.18%
    Weymouth 50.76%
    Draw 24.05%
Dover AthleticDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.18%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.85% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.76%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Dover Athletic
0-2
Weymouth
Ash (21'), Rose (30')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Weymouth
0-2
Dover Athletic
Higgs (75'), Wanadio (79')
May 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Dover Athletic
1-2
Weymouth
Nelson (76')
Woods (9'), Krasniqi (58'), Collinge (80'), Wilkinson (88'), (90+3')
(90+3')
Goodship (9' pen.), Blair (90+5')
Mnoga (36')
Sep 18, 2021 5.20pm
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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