National League South | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Clarence Park
Dover Athletic

St Albans City
2 - 0
Dover Athletic

Georgiou (15'), Weiss (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Welling United 0-0 St Albans City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawDover Athletic
49.65% (-0.16 -0.16)25.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)25.32% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.05% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44% (0.074999999999996 0.07)50.55% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (0.067 0.07)72.47% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)20.37% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)52.79% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (0.166 0.17)34.62% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.176 0.18)71.34% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 49.65%
    Dover Athletic 25.32%
    Draw 25.02%
St Albans CityDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 49.65%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.32%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dover Athletic
1-1
St Albans City
Wanadio (27' pen.)
Jeffers (42' pen.)