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Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Grimsby Town

Doncaster
1 - 0
Grimsby Town

Ironside (72' pen.)
Bailey (51'), Close (68'), Jones (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Holohan (44'), Rose (74')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
41.43% (0.11 0.11)25.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)33.38% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.046999999999997 0.05)47.07% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.044 0.04)69.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.075000000000003 0.08)22.62% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (0.11 0.11)56.24% (-0.11 -0.11)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)27.02% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)62.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 41.43%
    Grimsby Town 33.38%
    Draw 25.19%
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.38%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Doncaster
1-2
Grimsby Town
Barlow (26')
Maher (85'), Lloyd (90+6')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Grimsby Town
1-3
Doncaster
McAtee (79')
Miller (6', 63'), Biggins (51')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
1-0
Doncaster
Cook (40')

Taylor (78')
Oct 9, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Doncaster
2-0
Grimsby Town
May (23', 57' pen.)
Anderson (31'), Anderson (90')

Pringle (89')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Grimsby Town
1-1
Doncaster
Doncaster win 4-3 on penalties
Cardwell (29')
Jones (20'), Davies (69')
Williams (38')
Mandeville (86')
rhs 2.0


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