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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
| 40.61% ( | 26.34% ( | 33.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( | 52.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( | 73.8% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( | 60.01% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( | 29.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( | 65.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.05% |