League Two

League Two | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
3 - 2
Morecambe

Rose (47'), Green (49'), Pyke (59')
Khan (16'), Holohan (74'), Hunt (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Major (2'), McKiernan (86')
Tutonda (44')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Slough 1-1 Grimsby Town
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Morecambe
46.15% ( -0.42)	25.56% ( 0.14)	28.29% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 52.81% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

-0.42)

50.72% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

-0.38)

72.62% (

0.38)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

-0.37)

21.97% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.74% (

-0.56)

55.26% (

0.56)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

-0)

32.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

-0.01)

68.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 46.15%

Morecambe 28.29%

Draw 25.55%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.15%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.29%