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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Morecambe |
| 40.67% ( | 27.24% ( | 32.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% ( | 55.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% ( | 76.99% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( | 26.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( | 62.31% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% ( | 32.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.25% ( | 68.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.08% |