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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Walton Road Stadium
Morecambe

Sutton
2 - 3
Morecambe

Smith (45+4'), Goodliffe (62')
Coley (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mellon (30' pen.), Major (45+2'), Senior (90+1')
Adams (45'), Tutonda (72'), Love (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawMorecambe
46.05% (0.111 0.11)25.8% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)28.14% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.13500000000001 0.14)51.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.116 0.12)73.55% (-0.125 -0.13)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (0.10600000000001 0.11)22.46% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (0.162 0.16)56% (-0.17 -0.17)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.01400000000001 0.01)33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.59% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 46.04%
    Morecambe 28.14%
    Draw 25.8%
Sutton UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 28.14%

rhs 2.0


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