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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 46.05% ( | 25.8% ( | 28.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( | 51.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( | 73.55% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( | 22.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( | 56% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( | 33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.41% ( | 69.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.14% |