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Championship header 2

League Two

Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Morecambe
4 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Mellon (46', 61' pen., 88'), Lewis (51' og.)
Adams (58'), Davenport (65'), Tutonda (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Little (72')
Bugiel (57')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Accrington
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon
29.58% (-0.123 -0.12)26.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)43.81% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)54.29% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (0.062000000000001 0.06)75.68% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)33.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (-0.055 -0.05)69.84% (0.053999999999988 0.05)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.11099999999999 0.11)24.62% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (0.156 0.16)59.12% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.58%
    AFC Wimbledon 43.8%
    Draw 26.61%
MorecambeDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 11.46%
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.04% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 43.8%

Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Morecambe
Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Stockton (49', 65'), McLoughlin (54')
Leigh (73'), Delaney (89')
Hartigan (5'), Chislett (61'), Nightingale (72'), Assal (90+4')
Mebude (25'), Lawrence (35'), Chislett (67'), Assal (90+5')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fleming (76'), Devitt (80' pen.)
Fleming (76')
Francomb (90')
Meades (72'), Reeves (82')
Sweeney (79')
Oct 17, 2015 2pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-5
Morecambe
Barcham (3'), Akinfenwa (49')
Taylor (44'), Akinfenwa (45'), Reeves (76')
Miller (8' pen., 13'), Goodall (45'), Barkhuizen (80'), Mullin (90')
Kenyon (15'), Goodall (17'), Devitt (21'), Ellison (55')
> Match Report
Jan 31, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Amond (42')
Redshaw (79')
Reeves (12')
rhs 2.0


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