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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 45.79% ( | 24.18% ( | 30.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( | 43.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( | 66.2% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( | 19.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( | 51.04% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( | 27.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( | 63.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.02% |