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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Grimsby Town

MK Dons
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Payne (66', 66')
Williams (45+7'), Williams (45+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pyke (20', 20')
Conteh (64'), Conteh (64'), Ainley (85'), Ainley (85'), Wilson (90'), Wilson (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
45.79% (0.21899999999999 0.22)24.18% (-0.107 -0.11)30.02% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.45% (0.301 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (0.42599999999999 0.43)43.81% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (0.416 0.42)66.2% (-0.417 -0.42)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (0.264 0.26)19.29% (-0.265 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.434 0.43)51.04% (-0.435 -0.43)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (0.137 0.14)27.57% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (0.18 0.18)63.09% (-0.181 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 45.79%
    Grimsby Town 30.02%
    Draw 24.18%
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Thomas (27')
Ohman (25'), Whitmore (64')
Davis (41')

Gilbey (45'), Cargill (61')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
3-1
MK Dons
Embleton (50'), Thomas (61'), Vernam (73')
Welsh (90')
Agard (23')
Houghton (57'), Williams (73'), Walsh (84')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
MK Dons
1-1
Grimsby Town
Simpson (46')
Cargill (68')
Cook (35')
Whitmore (70'), McKeown (90'), Famewo (90')
Dixon (82')
Mar 7, 2008 3pm
Nov 6, 2007 3pm