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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 42.34% ( | 24.74% ( | 32.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( | 45.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( | 21.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( | 54.33% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( | 26.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( | 61.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.92% |