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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Newport County

Gillingham
0 - 2
Newport


Ogie (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bogle (20' pen., 27' pen.)
Drysdale (3'), Baker (29'), Evans (45+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawNewport County
43.61% (0.114 0.11)25.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02)30.94% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (-0.14 -0.14)48.98% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93% (-0.125 -0.13)71.06% (0.12 0.12)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)22.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)55.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.166 -0.17)29.54% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (-0.199 -0.2)65.55% (0.19500000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 43.61%
    Newport County 30.94%
    Draw 25.45%
GillinghamDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.94%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Gillingham
1-2
Newport
Nichols (17' pen.)
Norman (8'), Bogle (78')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Newport
2-0
Gillingham
Farquharson (43', 56')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Gillingham
2-2
Newport
 Newport win 4-1 on penalties
Hanlan (26' pen.), Ndjoli (90' pen.)
Ndjoli (58')
Ndjoli (93')
Abrahams (84'), Amond (94' pen.)
Howkins (89')
rhs 2.0


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