League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Shadrach Ogie 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Drysdale 3'
  • goal Omar Bogle 20'
  • goal Omar Bogle 27'
  • yellowcard Matthew Baker 29'
  • yellowcard Will Evans 45'+5'

Gillingham vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Swindon 0 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Conor Masterson

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Notts County 3 - 0 Newport
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Will Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Gillingham 43.61% (+0.12)
Draw 25.45% (+0.02)
Newport County 30.94% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.02% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 48.98% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 28.93% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 71.06% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 13.94% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.06% (+0.09)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 77.59% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.4% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.08% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.91% (+0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 70.46% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 29.54% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 34.44% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 65.55% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Gillingham 43.61%
Draw 25.45%
Newport County 30.94%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 9.9% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.4% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
Newport County
0-1 @ 8.07% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 30.94%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Tom Nichols 17' goal
  • goal Cameron Norman 8'
  • goal Cameron Norman 9'
  • goal Omar Bogle 78'
League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Priestley Farquharson 43' goal
  • Priestley Farquharson 56' goal
EFL Cup Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
ET
  • Brandon Hanlan 26' goal
  • Mikael Ndjoli 58' yellowcard
  • Mikael Ndjoli 90' goal
  • Mikael Ndjoli 93' redcard
  • goal Tristan Abrahams 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle Howkins 89'
  • goal Padraig Amond 94'