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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Walsall

Newport
3 - 3
Walsall

Morris (4', 67'), Evans (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Draper (16', 53', 90+6')
Knowles (61'), Draper (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Newport
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

Walsall

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 4-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWalsall
45.85% (0.205 0.2)25.13% (-0.041 -0.04)29.02% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)48.53% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (0.088000000000001 0.09)70.65% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (0.13199999999999 0.13)21.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.203 0.2)54.06% (-0.2 -0.2)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)30.65% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.9% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.84%
    Walsall 29.02%
    Draw 25.12%
Newport CountyDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Newport vs Walsall

Newport County
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Walsall
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Walsall
1-1
Newport
Hutchinson (32')
Norman (78')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Newport
0-1
Walsall

Bennett (8')
Demetriou (63' og.)
Hutchinson (16'), Daniels (65'), Allen (67'), Comley (72')
Allen (84')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Walsall
3-3
Newport
Wilkinson (53', 90+5'), Dolan (65' og.)
Labadie (64')
Telford (4', 66'), Wilkinson (56' og.)
Baker-Richardson (59')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newport
2-1
Walsall
Demetriou (9'), Clarke (87')
Upson (18')
Shade (45+2')
Feb 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Walsall
0-1
Newport

Gordon (8'), Vincent (53')
Labadie (71')