/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwallog.png)
-
Bryn Morris
4'
-
Will Evans
45'+4'
-
Bryn Morris
67'
-
Freddie Draper
16'
-
Freddie Draper
53'
-
Tom Knowles
61'
-
Freddie Draper
90'+6'
-
Freddie Draper
90'+7'
Newport County vs Walsall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F35%2Fgraham-coughlan.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Newport County
45.85%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
25.13%
▼
(-0.05)
Walsall
29.02%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
54.65%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.47%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
48.53%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
29.34%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
70.65%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
14.22%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
85.78%
▼
(-0.06)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
78.81%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
21.19%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
45.93%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
54.06%
▼
(-0.20)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5
69.34%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
30.65%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
33.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
66.9%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Newport County
45.84%
Draw
25.12%
Walsall
29.02%
Newport County
1-0
@
10.07%
2-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.84%
2-1 @ 9.25% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.84%
Draw
1-1
@
11.91%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
Walsall
0-1
@
7.68%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.02%
1-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.02%
Taylor Allen
84'