League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 0
Newport

Crowley (24', 24'), Langstaff (34', 34', 54', 54')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Payne (37'), Payne (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 3-3 Walsall
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Newport County
44.76% ( 0.54)	22.76% ( 0.14)	32.47% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 64.92% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.12% (

-0.97)

35.87% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.04% (

-1.08)

57.96% (

1.08)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

-0.17)

16.56% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.65% (

-0.32)

46.34% (

0.32)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.8% (

-0.83)

22.19% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.39% (

-1.26)

55.6% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Notts County 44.76%

Newport County 32.47%

Draw 22.77%

Notts County	Draw	Newport County
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.57% Total : 44.76%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.77%	1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.38% Total : 32.47%