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Championship header 2

League Two

Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
MK Dons

Salford City
2 - 4
MK Dons

N'Mai (36'), Watson (45+2' pen.)
Lund (33'), Wood (34'), Mariappa (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dean (10'), Tomlinson (50', 72'), Harrison (88')
Williams (67'), Tomlinson (73')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawMK Dons
31.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)23.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.84% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07% (0.012 0.01)39.92% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71% (0.009999999999998 0.01)62.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.62% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (0.012999999999991 0.01)18.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.09% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 31.64%
    MK Dons 44.84%
    Draw 23.52%
Salford CityDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.64%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 44.84%