League Two Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Moor Lane
  • Matthew Lund 33' yellowcard
  • Neil Wood 34' yellowcard
  • Kelly N'Mai 36' goal
  • Ryan Watson 45'+2' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 64' yellowcard
  • goal Max Dean 10'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 50'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 67'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 72'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 73'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 88'

Salford City vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 18, 2023 3.00pm
Gillingham 3 - 1 Salford City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Matt Smith

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
Newport 0 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Max Dean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result

Salford City 31.63% (-0.02)
Draw 23.52% (-0.01)
MK Dons 44.84% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.71% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 39.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.71% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 62.28% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 20.33% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.66% (-0.01)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 75.37% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.62% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.86% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.13% (+0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 81.87% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.13% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 50.91% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.09% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Salford City 31.64%
Draw 23.52%
MK Dons 44.84%
Salford City
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.52%
MK Dons
1-2 @ 9.12% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.19% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 44.84%