League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
3 - 1
Salford City

Mahoney (22'), Nichols (54'), Jefferies (62')
Clark (26'), Nichols (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Smith (37')
Mallan (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 4-4 Peterborough (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Salford City
38.97% ( -1)	24.67% ( 0.07)	36.36% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 58.91% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85% (

-0.22)

44.15% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47% (

-0.21)

66.53% (

0.21)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

-0.59)

22.56% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

-0.89)

56.15% (

0.89)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

0.41)

23.92% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86% (

0.59)

58.14% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 38.97%

Salford City 36.36%

Draw 24.67%

Gillingham	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.97%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.36%