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Championship header 2

League Two

Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Gillingham

Wrexham
2 - 0
Gillingham

Palmer (1'), Tozer (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGillingham
56.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)21.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)68.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.96%
    Gillingham 21.5%
    Draw 21.53%
WrexhamDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Gillingham

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
0.0%
15