League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Ollie Palmer 1' goal
  • Ben Tozer 71' goal

Wrexham vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Notts County 0 - 2 Wrexham
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Gillingham 0 - 2 Newport
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Conor Masterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 56.96% (+0.01)
Draw 21.53% (-0.01)
Gillingham 21.5% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.98% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.78% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.22% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 38.45%
Under 3.5 61.55% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 20.91%
Under 4.5 79.09% (+0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 86.38% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 13.62% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 59.23% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.77% (-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 68.27% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.85% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.14% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Wrexham 56.96%
Draw 21.53%
Gillingham 21.5%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 56.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.53%
Gillingham
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.5%