Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.